01 — Research
Hypotheses, not hunches.
Every strategy begins as a falsifiable claim about market structure, written down before a single parameter is fit.
A strategy mustearn its rightto touch capital.
QuantTrail Capital is a private algorithmic trading firm. We run systematic strategies in FX and digital assets — validated before deployment, contained in production, reported without concealment.
Figure 0. Ten thousand paths, one decision.†Geometric Brownian motion · μ 0.06 · σ 0.14
02 — Validation
Evidence under duress.
Walk-forward windows, Monte Carlo resampling and parameter-stability sweeps. Most candidates do not survive.
03 — Promotion
Capital is earned.
A strategy is promoted only when its evidence clears explicit gates. Authority, risk budget and rollback policy travel together.
04 — Execution
Boundaries inherited.
Orders carry their limits with them. Exposure reconciles continuously across FX and digital-asset venues.
05 — Reporting
Nothing concealed.
NAV, drawdown, fees and attribution trace back to fills. Allocators read the same record we do.
The Method
Backtests are hypotheses. Live capital is the peer review.
Nothing we deploy is trusted because it is clever. A candidate strategy must hold its edge across twelve walk-forward windows it has never seen, survive a thousand Monte Carlo resamplings of its own trade history, and remain profitable across a neighbourhood of its parameters — not at a single fitted point.†
Only then is it granted a risk budget, and the budget is not advisory. Kill switches, drawdown limits and exposure caps are enforced by the same machinery that routes the orders. When a model approaches its boundary, the system does not negotiate with conviction.
12 walk-forward windows.
1,000 Monte Carlo paths.
0 unmapped positions.†
Validation gates are detailed on Folio 02.
| Venue | Class | Role | Region |
|---|---|---|---|
| MT5 | FX | Execution + custody of margin | UAE · UK |
| cTrader | FX | Execution | UAE · UK |
| Binance | Digital | Spot + perpetuals | Global |
| Bybit | Digital | Perpetuals | Global |
| OKX | Digital | Spot + perpetuals | Global |
| Hyperliquid | Digital | Perpetuals | Global |
Adapter support varies by venue and jurisdiction.†
The memorandum is available to qualified investors.Request access
Notes & methodology
- Sharpe ratio, maximum drawdown and winning-month figures are illustrative of the strategy class, derived from simulated performance net of estimated fees, funding, slippage and market impact. Winning months are computed on complete calendar months only; the current month-to-date is excluded. Simulated results are hypothetical and do not represent live trading.
- Validation methodology: 12 rolling walk-forward windows with out-of-sample evaluation; 1,000-path Monte Carlo resampling of trade sequences; parameter-stability analysis across a neighbourhood of the deployed configuration. Position mapping reflects the current production configuration. See Folio 02 — Strategy.
- Venue list reflects current execution adapters. Support status varies by venue and jurisdiction; digital-asset perpetuals are unavailable to certain investor classes.
- Nothing on this page constitutes an offer, solicitation or investment advice. Access is restricted to qualified and professional investors in eligible jurisdictions.
- Figure 0 is a generic geometric Brownian motion illustration. It depicts no strategy, portfolio or performance record, and is unrelated to the 1,000-path Monte Carlo validation described in note 2.